Last night 60 Minutes had a very interesting story about how a second wave of defaults will hit the housing market. The first wave of course, has been the sub-prime loans that have gone bad. The second wave will consist of Alt-A loans and Option-ARM loans.
This potential wave of future resets in Alt-A and Option ARMs, according to Credit Suisse really begins in 2009, ramps up in 2010, and ramps up again in 2011.
These resets, coupled with increasing unemployment rates, in my opinion will continue to hold-down real estate values for the next several years.
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